Blog

Benedict Evans Benedict Evans

Predicting AI job exposure

Many people would like to analyse which jobs, companies and industries are most exposed to AI, and assign scores, build charts, and map that against the progress of LLMs. I think this is mostly impossible: you don’t know how the jobs will change, you don’t know what else will change around this, and you can’t measure work like that anyway.

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Benedict Evans Benedict Evans

AI eats the world (May 2026)

Twice a year, I produce a big presentation exploring macro and strategic trends in the tech industry. New in May 2026, ‘AI eats the world’.

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Mikhail Grechishkin Mikhail Grechishkin

Building a tech-enabled VC firm

Mosaic is a partner-only firm. The sourcing, pipeline management, deck analysis, and meeting prep that would traditionally fall to a junior investment team is now handled by partners working alongside purpose-built data infrastructure and AI-native workflows, because two years ago we made the bet that intelligent machines could do it better.

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Benedict Evans Benedict Evans

How will OpenAI compete?

OpenAI has some big questions. It doesn’t have unique tech. It has a big user base, but with limited engagement and stickiness and no network effect. The incumbents have matched the tech and are leveraging their product and distribution. And a lot of the value and leverage will come from new experiences that haven’t been invented yet, and it can’t invent all of those itself. What’s the plan?

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Benedict Evans Benedict Evans

AI eats the world (Nov 2025)

Twice a year, I produce a big presentation exploring macro and strategic trends in the tech industry. New in November 2025: ‘AI eats the world’.

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Research Benedict Evans Research Benedict Evans

What kind of disruption?

Software ate the world. Uber and Airbnb didn’t sell software - they disrupted and redefined markets. But what kind of disruption are we talking about ?

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Benedict Evans Benedict Evans

Apple innovation and execution

It matters that Apple’s new Siri will be late, and it matters more that Apple didn’t realise. Is it more than that?

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Benedict Evans Benedict Evans

Are better models better?

Every week there’s a better AI model that gives better answers. But a lot of questions don’t have better answers, only ‘right’ answers, and these models can’t do that. So what does ‘better’ mean, how do we manage these things, and should we change what we expect from computers?

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Benedict Evans Benedict Evans

The Deep Research problem

OpenAI’s Deep Research is built for me, and I can’t use it. It’s another amazing demo, until it breaks. But it breaks in really interesting ways.

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Benedict Evans Benedict Evans

AI eats the world

Every year, I produce a big presentation exploring macro and strategic trends in the tech industry. For 2025, "AI eats the world"

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Benedict Evans Benedict Evans

Competing in search

Will Apple build a search engine? Will ChatGPT change search? Does it matter?

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