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Ways to think about AGI

How do we think about a fundamentally unknown and unknowable risk, when the experts agree only that they have no idea?

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AI and problems of scale

Generative AI means things that were always possible at a small scale now become practical to automate at a massive scale. Sometimes a change in scale is a change in principle.

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Machine Intelligence, Blog Benedict Evans Machine Intelligence, Blog Benedict Evans

Unbundling AI

ChatGPT and LLMs can do anything (or look like they can), so what can you do with them? How do you know? Do we move to chat bots as a magical general-purpose interface, or do we unbundle them back into single-purpose software? What are the products?

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Machine Intelligence, Blog Benedict Evans Machine Intelligence, Blog Benedict Evans

When tech says "no"

The tech industry always has a reason why any new laws or regulations are bad - indeed, so does any industry. They always say that! The trouble is, sometimes it’s true, and some laws are (or would be) disasters. So which is it? Well, there are three ways that people say ‘NO!’

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